tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post8764902057276251438..comments2024-03-29T02:03:49.151-04:00Comments on History Unfolding: Parallels from the pastDavid Kaiserhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05020082243968071584noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-41079847438616921272008-04-27T18:39:00.000-04:002008-04-27T18:39:00.000-04:00There is at least a 50-50 chance, in my opinion, t...<I>There is at least a 50-50 chance, in my opinion, that we will have bombed Iran before November, making these issues more emotional and more acute.</I><BR/><BR/>Interesting post as always, Dr. Kaiser. But if we <I>do</I> bomb Iran, I fear that "these issues" will become essentially irrelevant -- America's days as a constitutional republic (to the extent that it is, any more) will be over.<BR/><BR/>I don't know if there is such a thing as a "historical law", but if I were to endorse one, it would be this: Military defeats are <I>never</I> good for liberal values. (The converse, that military victories <I>are</I>, is almost certainly untrue.) Everyone knows that a war with Iran will have catastrophic effects on the oil supply, and thus the world economy. But it will also surely mobilize thousands of Shi'a, some well-trained and equipped, some not, to immediately go after the supply lines that extend from Kuwait to American garrisons in Iraq. American arms simply don't function without an immense logistical tail. I don't believe the brilliant Beltway Caesars in the American Enterprise Institute bother with trifling details like this, but it's so. We could lose an army. And after these last several years I find it difficult to believe that the blame will go where it really belongs. Herman Goering's principles of government have worked pretty well so far, no?<BR/>-- sgloverAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com