tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post4798027196009594559..comments2024-03-29T02:03:49.151-04:00Comments on History Unfolding: Thoughts on the Virus and where it has spreadDavid Kaiserhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05020082243968071584noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-91411399730193111402020-05-29T10:47:53.256-04:002020-05-29T10:47:53.256-04:00In the several weeks since this was posted, I beli...In the several weeks since this was posted, I believe that the numbers coming out of South America (particularly Brazil) and India show that this virus is not largely confined to the developed world.<br /><br />Jenny Genser WhiteAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12713118420265900443noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-31850254356961467422020-05-06T10:45:44.548-04:002020-05-06T10:45:44.548-04:00Going back to India -- this BBC article details so...Going back to India -- this BBC article details some of the points that I was trying to make earlier. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-52435463<br /><br />In particular:<br /><br />"Since most deaths occur at home - and will be for the foreseeable future - in India, other systems are needed," Dr Jha told me.<br /><br />Around 80% of deaths in India still happen at home, including deaths from infections like malaria and pneumonia. Maternal deaths, and deaths from sudden coronary attacks and accidents are more often reported from hospitals. "A lot of people get some medical attention over time, return and die at home in India," says Dr Jha.<br /><br />Clearly, counting hospital deaths alone is not going to be sufficient enough to get an accurate number of Covid-19 fatalities"<br /><br />Jenny Genser White<br /><br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12713118420265900443noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-47134294330325512072020-05-04T20:22:40.488-04:002020-05-04T20:22:40.488-04:00Dear Dr. Kaiser,
Thanks for this.
Also it might...Dear Dr. Kaiser,<br /><br />Thanks for this. <br /><br />Also it might be nice to know whether some aspect of health care policy or normative social behavior is protecting Germans.<br /><br />For instance, have more Germans chosen to receive pneumonia or other vaccines having beneficial "off-target" effects. Please see this for more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/health/coronavirus-bcg-vaccine.html<br /><br />All the best,<br /><br />Jude HammerleJude Hammerlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00765872893740924266noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-19638698712194729872020-05-04T05:28:16.718-04:002020-05-04T05:28:16.718-04:00Dear Prof Kaiser,
Oh yes, I remember, in the begi...Dear Prof Kaiser,<br /><br />Oh yes, I remember, in the beginning of the pandemic, listening to some airline spokesmen saying that planes were perfectly safe, because 'the air gets filtered'. Of particles the size of viruses? I don't think there's a filter for that. I'd think that if you recirculate the air, you recirculate the virus. But allright, I don't really know, do I?<br />Another matter is how relevant the point is. Today's Guardian has a good article (in my view) that sums up some things. It seems to me your valid point falls into category four, checks at borders. That leaves another seven. Here it is: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/may/04/eight-lessons-controlling-coronavirus-east-asian-nations-pandemic-public-health<br />All the best, stay healthy.PJ Catshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14792450374711478295noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-64828610742488244392020-05-04T03:42:40.167-04:002020-05-04T03:42:40.167-04:00As I put it on a history forum... COVID-19 seemed ...As I put it on a history forum... COVID-19 seemed to first hit people best fitting the "frequent flyer" profile of executives, heirs, entertainers, academics, and traveling salespeople... jetliners are easy places for infectious diseases to spread because people are packed in tight and the same air is recirculating around. But then it started to find its way onto airport limousines (often really buses), trains, trams, and buses. The NHL and NBA ended seasons because the teams would be exposed to travel by air. <br /><br />The New York City subway system probably did more to spread COVID-19. It is going to be a while before I use a jetliner or any form of mass transit for a while. Rural America, where I live (if you call it living) may be a cultural desert in which entertainment is cable or satellite TV, the Internet, or video rentals and information is from the limited library... that rules out any trip to any big city until mass transit is safe again. <br /><br />COVID-19 has brought back the 1930's with a lack of social life but fully-modern technology. It is the social life, and not technology, that makes life human. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06207437083268914414noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-37842532235824886702020-05-04T02:31:58.011-04:002020-05-04T02:31:58.011-04:00Professor
They probably came from China to Italy f...Professor<br />They probably came from China to Italy first.<br />From China also to everywhere else as well directly.<br />There are plenty of both rich and poor Chinese in Italy, for a lot of reasons. <br />See my site.<br />All the best.Bozonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18078858723231122013noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-32130496295417566902020-05-03T20:07:12.003-04:002020-05-03T20:07:12.003-04:00PS
My allergist does not even have allergies.
He ...PS<br />My allergist does not even have allergies. <br />He was concerned about viruses and bacteria in strictly recycled cabin air!<br /><br />All the bestBozonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18078858723231122013noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-77260215545222263232020-05-03T20:00:01.493-04:002020-05-03T20:00:01.493-04:00Professor
"A critical question, and to my mi...Professor<br /><br />"A critical question, and to my mind a very open one, is this: did most American travelers who had been to Italy contract the virus in Italy, or did most of the contract them in airplanes?"<br /><br />Great point! <br /><br />No one wants to talk about it much, or do stories on airline air systems, now that they are sutting down anyway. <br /><br />I had made a few remarks, well before the pandemic, because I found out how they have come to handle cabin air in recent years. <br /><br />My MD allergist also noted it, who started wearing masks for air travel years ago himself.<br /><br />In my judgment, those grounded planes cannot now be retrofitted to go back to fresh air intake systems. <br /><br />All the best<br />Bozonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18078858723231122013noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-79304122650258766672020-05-03T19:43:33.718-04:002020-05-03T19:43:33.718-04:00It seems to me that our leaders are following the ...It seems to me that our leaders are following the Katrina response model, an ideological based model of slow and minimal national action and planning. Frankly, I think this amounts to criminal negligence and a violation of their oaths of office by which they have sworn to a constitution established to provide for the common defense and promote the general welfare. <br /><br />We have a fascinating and damning contrast when comparing our response to that of Taiwan. There are several interesting articles available on the web, including one by Time Magazine, on how and why they were so successful in stopping the virus through early and thorough action. The USA is only 4.2% only of the world’s population yet we have 33.3% of the global cases and 27.5% of the deaths. The data raises questions about how and why we have done so poorly. Below is a shocking comparison of Taiwan and a combination of three US states with an equivalent total population, as of 5/3/2020:<br /><br /><br />Taiwan population: 23.7 m <br />NY/Conn/RI population: 24.0 m. <br />Taiwan cases / deaths: 432 / 6 <br />NY/Conn/RI cases / deaths: 362,647 / 27,463<br />Gloucon Xhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05218027862578514587noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8746692.post-73014504368247485852020-05-03T14:52:29.351-04:002020-05-03T14:52:29.351-04:00It strikes me that COVID-19 deaths could be seriou...It strikes me that COVID-19 deaths could be seriously under-reported in developing nations.<br />In developed nations, most people die in hospitals and if the patient has COVID symptoms, the patient will have been tested. <br /><br />However, is that the case in less developed nations? Do hospitals have tests? And if most people die at home and never see a hospital? <br /><br /> Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12713118420265900443noreply@blogger.com