Those of you who've been with me at least since November 2006 know that instant election results are a specialty here at historyunfolding. Although some votes remain to be counted, I'm going to comment on Iowa--because I'm delighted. The victory of Mike Huckabee and the very probable (at this point) victory of Barack Obama--and the bare probability of a third-place finish for Hillary Rodham Clinton--send an overwhelming message: the country is fed up with the establishment of both parties and is eager to say so. Turnout was very high, especially among the Democrats. We are, I venture to say, finally in the new era that Strauss and Howe predicted. The establishment is dead--r.i.p.
Obama is now five points ahead with about 80% of the precincts in. He has won. I am thrilled, and not just because he is my candidate--barely. Hillary will try to recoup in New Hampshire and South Carolina--but if she does, I suspect Edwards will pull out and endorse Obama (who may become more confrontational in his rhetoric) before Super Tuesday, leaving him in a very strong position.
We have the next ten months to find out what our great republic is still capable of. I can't wait to find out.