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Saturday, October 29, 2011

What the Chancellor said

[N.B.: Those who visited yesterday may wish to scrol down and go through the Chancellor's speech again. I was extremely tired when I worked on the translation yesterday morning, and I did not realize how sloppy it was. I have now smoothed it out considerably.

Chancellor Merkel's speech, in my opinion, reflects great credit on her, but far greater credit on the political culture of Germany and Europe. I do not in fact agree with the thrust of some of the policies it lays out: they emphasize austerity in Greece and elsewhere, rather than economic growth (although, as she points out, her own country at this moment has a very impressive and enviable employment record of which to boast.) But the speech promises, directly and repeatedly, to make a sustained attack upon some deep-seated problems within the EU and the Eurozone in a continuing effort to preserve the achievements of her parents' generation. And in particular, at the end of the speech, she, like Lincoln and FDR in their time, puts the current crisis in the context of previous ones. While she does not name Bismarck or Adenauer or de Gaulle, she promises that her generation shall not fail the comparable test that it faces. It is symptomatic of the wretched mess in which the United States finds itself that neither President Obama nor any Republican ever wants to make such an appeal to the past. The Boom generation of historians seems successfully to have persuaded public opinion and our elites that history began in the late 1960s.

Europe does face critical, possibly insurmountable problems. In an effort to preserve the Euro the Greeks have made genuine sacrifices of their sovereignty. This may indeed crack the Eurozone, though not the EU itself, but if it does not, it will be a critical precedent that may move European political life into a new phase. The Europeans, in any case, are still engaged in an extraordinary attempt to widen and deepen their political order. The contrast with the United States could not be clearer: we are engaged, not in saving our grandparents' and parents' achievements, but in tearing them down. And it is no accident, clearly, that Republicans now cite Europe's regulated capitalism, complete with single-payer health care and truly modern infrastructure, as some sort of catastrophe that the United States has to avoid. Europe is still the continent of the Enlightenment. Paradoxically, the United States--the first political child of the Enlightenment--is now the advanced country where its spirit is under the heaviest attack.

The transcript of Merkl's speech shows that the applause came mainly, though not exclusively, from her own coalition. Yet she did not speak as a party leader several of her most important pronouncements drew unanimous applause. This has become unheard of when the President addresses the Congress. My old friend Stanley Hoffmann, in his review of Thomas Friedman and Michael Mandelbaum's new book This Used to Be Us, suggested that European parliamentary systems are simply more effective than our own separation of powers, but I think this was an oversimplification. Presidents such as Truman and Eisenhower have accomplished great things with the help of Congresses at least partially controlled by the opposition party. We are in trouble now not because of our constitution, but because of our almost complete lack of any common civic spirit. No European leader faces an opposition determined to ensure that anything he or she does fails, but that is the situation we have been living with for three years, and it will get worse before it gets better.

Having suffered the worst of modern western civilization during the last crisis, the Europeans remain committed to a relatively strong government and a welfare state. No major European nation has de-industrialized to the same extent as the United States, either. Chancellor Merkel's positions on the regulation of financial markets--including hedge funds!--were far in advance of President Obama's. The Europeans face big problems--but their governments are addressing them. If they can succeed, they seem very likely to regain the leadership of the western world which, half a century ago, they seemed to have lost forever. That would not disturb me. The Atlantic world is a family, and one one family member goes crazy, others must step forward. That was our role 70 years ago; now it seems once again to be theirs. We are all, in any event, in this together.

17 comments:

  1. Anonymous5:16 AM

    The two halves of the eurozone are locked in a broken
    marriage

    One by one, the democracies of Southern Europe are being broken on the wheel of monetary union.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/
    ambroseevans_pritchard/8858604/The-two-halves
    -of-the-eurozone-are-locked-in-a-broken-
    marriage.html

    ReplyDelete
  2. Professor

    Thanks for this note.
    Some great observations here for me.

    It is great to have an American with European insights say something.

    All the best,
    GM

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous6:47 AM

    Leadership may live, but the democracy will
    live too.

    It does seem that the Greek voters will have a
    chance to give their own opinion of the leadership
    from a foreign country imposed upon them.

    'Dismay,' 'irritation' at referendum announcement

    http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_
    wsite1_1_01/11/2011_412634\\

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous6:54 AM

    It's getting more and more interesting by a minute!

    Opposition parties accuse PM of 'blackmail'

    http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_
    wsite1_1_31/10/2011_412624

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous2:54 PM

    Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt said in a message
    posted on Twitter: "I truly fail to understand what
    Greece intendes to have a referendum about. Are
    there any real options?"


    http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518
    ,795176,00.html

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous3:03 PM

    Papandreou Is Right to Let the Greeks Decide

    Europe is stunned. The Greek prime minister
    wants to allow the people to vote on the euro rescue
    plan for their country. Georgios Papandreou is
    putting all his eggs in one basket -- but he has
    made the right decision.


    It must be said right at the beginning: The Greeks
    will, for a change, decide for themselves how they
    and their country will move forward.

    They have had no real opportunity to do so for quite
    some time. For about a year and a half, this once
    proud country has been under foreign
    administration; it is de facto no longer a sovereign
    state. The government's most important task has
    been dragging the austerity programs and
    structural reforms though parliament and
    implementing them. These are dictated by the strict
    troika of the EU Commission, the European Central
    Bank (ECB) and the International Monetary Fund.
    Otherwise there will be no more bailout money,
    and the country would go bankrupt.


    http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518
    ,795297,00.html

    As you can see Dr. Kaiser the decision seems to be
    going back to people and not the leaders.

    Are you OK with that?

    ReplyDelete
  7. Anonymous7:35 PM

    Fast cars and loose fiscal morals: there are more
    Porsches in Greece than taxpayers declaring
    50,000 euro incomes


    Something can’t be right when the modest city of
    Larisa, capital of the agricultural region of Thessaly
    with 250,000 inhabitants, has more Porsches per
    head of the population than New York or London.


    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ianmcowie/
    100012894/fast-cars-and-loose-fiscal-morals
    -there-are-more-porsches-in-greece-than-
    taxpayers-declaring-50000-euro-incomes/

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous7:44 PM

    Revenge of the Sovereign Nation

    The spokesman of French president Nicolas Sarkozy
    (himself half Greek, from Thessaloniki) said the
    move was “irrational and dangerous”.
    Rainer BrĂ¼derle, Bundestag leader of the Free
    Democrats, said the Greeks appear to be “wriggling
    out” of a solemn commitment. They face outright
    bankruptcy, he blustered.

    Well yes, but at least the Greeks are stripping away
    the self-serving claims of the creditor states that
    their “rescue” loan packages are to “save Greece”.

    They are nothing of the sort. Greece has been
    subjected to the greatest fiscal squeeze ever
    attempted in a modern industrial state, without
    any offsetting monetary stimulus or devaluation.

    The economy has so far collapsed by 14pc to 16pc
    since the peak – depending who you ask – and is
    spiralling downwards at a vertiginous pace.

    The debt has exploded under the EU-IMF Troika
    programme. It is heading for 180pc of GDP by next
    year. Even under the haircut deal, Greek debt will
    be 120pc of GDP in 2020 after nine years of
    depression. That is not cure, it is a punitive
    sentence.



    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans
    -pritchard/100012986/revenge-of-the-sovereign
    -nation/

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous1:58 PM

    The World from Berlin
    Greek Exit From Euro Zone Just a 'Matter of Time'

    http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518
    ,795426,00.html

    ReplyDelete
  10. Anonymous6:14 PM

    "We will not implement any program by force,
    but only with the consent of the Greek people.

    This is our democratic tradition and we demand that
    it is also respected abroad."

    -- Greek prime minister George Papandreou

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous5:56 AM

    Euro area leaders talked openly for the first time of
    a possible Greek exit from the 17-nation currency
    area, seeking to maximize pressure on Athens and
    to preserve the euro in case of a Greek "no" vote.

    Merkel told a midnight news conference that while
    she would prefer to stabilize the euro with Greece
    as a member, the top priority was saving the euro,
    not rescuing the Greeks.


    The chairman of euro zone finance ministers,
    Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker,
    said policymakers were working on possible
    scenarios for a Greek exit.

    "We are working on the subject of how to ensure
    there is not a disaster for the people in Germany,
    Luxembourg, the euro zone. We are absolutely
    prepared for the situation,"
    Juncker told Germany's
    ZDF television.

    France's Europe minister, Jean Leonetti, said bluntly
    the euro could survive without Greece.

    "Greece is something we can get over, something
    we can live without,"
    he told RTL radio in an
    interview.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/03/us-
    g-idUSTRE7A20E920111103

    ReplyDelete
  12. A well-connected Greek PhD student told me in 1993 that no one pays their taxes in his country and a large proportion of the population shuffle paper in civil service-style pseudo jobs. Not only that, most of the paper shufflers will shuffle paper in your favored direction if bribed to do so.
    When tax income does not balance govt. expenditure then shortfalls must be covered by borrowing. And Greece has borrowed for decades.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Professor,

    You write well but I do not share your world view. I've lived in Europe and witnessed the internecine conflicts and a social structure that relies upon fewer individuals supporting a growing group of beneficiaries; not unlike the situation in the US.

    I guess I fail to understand how you can define the problem, at least in part, as "the situation we have been living with for the last three years,....". Perhaps you were traveling abroad during George W. Bush's term in office. Or perhaps, more recently, you missed the current officeholder tell the loyal opposition that "elections have consequences", and subsequently go on to exclude the republicans from any participation in the economic and legislative actions taken by a congress fully controlled by his party.

    I came to this site expecting objective and insightful opinion. I'm leaving a bit disappointed.

    John Murphy

    ReplyDelete
  14. Professor

    I have to admit that I favor nationalism over 'bloc' politics, for the foreseeable future, in Europe, and elsewhere.

    I do not see any way that Greeks can stand to be yanked about by mainly foreign (and foolish) bankers,

    even though they themselves, the Greeks, are not untarnished foolish actors,

    as some of your commentators have rightly pointed out.

    What, after all, at this moment in history, is so wrong with old nationalism?

    The Greek version, after all, has a much longer, and venerable, history, going back to the wars with Persia, and with the battle of Marathon.

    Surely, they were under the Ottoman heel for a long long time.

    What is so wrong with that nationalist heritage, compared to a so called common overbearing currency, an abomination, politically, after all.

    I could give very good, 'risk averse' arguments, about uncoupling somewhat from globalist entanglements, but why bother really?

    All the best,
    GM

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous10:50 AM

    I would be hoping that you might comment on topic
    such as this one that is much closer to home. But I
    doubt you will touch anything that the current
    administration is doing/involved in. Such a pity!


    A double standard on war crimes?
    The liberal line on anti-terrorism measures
    has changed now that their guy is in the White
    House


    http://www.boston.com/lifestyle/articles/2011/
    11/04/a_double_standard_on_war_crimes/

    Not that a liberal double standard is anything new
    or unexpected!

    ReplyDelete
  16. To anonymous, directly above:

    I allowed your comment, although it is abusive and anonymous--the usual criteria for deletion--just to say that you could not be more wrong. Regulars readers know very well that I have been very critical of this administration, including with regard to war crimes, and if you took the trouble to do a search you could confirm that for yourself. This is one liberal who does not argue like a modern "conservative." He thinks for himself.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Anonymous4:42 PM

    Dr. Kaiser :

    I looked and haven't seen anywhere on the blog that
    you'd commented on killing of American citizens such
    as Al Awlaki by the current administration.

    Please do direct me to such a commentary, if it
    exists.

    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete